sky won despite AKATSUKI holding the stronger draft (-425). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

sky fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★39920 vs ★42196), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of AKATSUKI (-425), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.