保卫鸡哥3.0 won despite XingGuan holding the stronger draft (+475). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

保卫鸡哥3.0 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★14158 vs ★39848), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of XingGuan (+475), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.