Thinking of Hammers won despite Aogiri Tree holding the stronger draft (-451). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Thinking of Hammers fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★8202 vs ★13464), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Aogiri Tree (-451), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.