星辰 won despite 大香蕉 holding the stronger draft (-433). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

大香蕉 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★9200 vs ★9520), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 大香蕉 (-433), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.