混水摸鱼 won despite 摆烂 holding the stronger draft (+403). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

混水摸鱼 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★13890 vs ★23798), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 摆烂 (+403), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.