在野之臣 won despite 天下会 holding the stronger draft (-401). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

在野之臣 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★20212 vs ★25992), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 天下会 (-401), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.