le chien il a un gros nez won despite Nice Coq holding the stronger draft (+451). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Nice Coq fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12992 vs ★18440), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Nice Coq (+451), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.