马到成功 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-498), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

大板鲫 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★15701 vs ★22988), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 马到成功 (-498), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.