Acrimonious won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-410), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

Goatwheels fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12619 vs ★14403), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Acrimonious (-410), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.