老马奇遇记 won despite 恒电饭桶 holding the stronger draft (+464). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

恒电饭桶 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★24692 vs ★31089), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 恒电饭桶 (+464), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.