贞观之治 won despite 马到成功 holding the stronger draft (+413). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

贞观之治 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★17029 vs ★23669), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 马到成功 (+413), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.