误闯天家 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-438), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

感恩的心 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★20224 vs ★35658), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 误闯天家 (-438), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.