Fish Dich won despite Wongs Bakery holding the stronger draft (-496). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Fish Dich fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★7952 vs ★14001), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Wongs Bakery (-496), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.