AbfahrerDraft took the win with a modest draft edge (-376), confirming that the matchup data leaned the right way.

Washed up fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★13832 vs ★31563), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of AbfahrerDraft (-376), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.