月亮惹的祸 came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-386). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

鸡饲料薄纱农场主 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12833 vs ★22346), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 鸡饲料薄纱农场主 (-386), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.