Team Fractalz won despite Dota Minus holding the stronger draft (-481). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Team Fractalz fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★40000 vs ★45000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Dota Minus (-481), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.