扫黄小组 won despite U-Party holding the stronger draft (-425). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

扫黄小组 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★16885 vs ★20556), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of U-Party (-425), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.