tb微雨绸缪 won despite 猛虎下山 holding the stronger draft (+481). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

tb微雨绸缪 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★21802 vs ★24588), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 猛虎下山 (+481), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.