GreenTeaWatch won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-498), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

Cloud Dawning fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★3659 vs ★12299), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of GreenTeaWatch (-498), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.