毛处育婴团 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+421), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

我不想死 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★4357 vs ★10535), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 毛处育婴团 (+421), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.