小朋友 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+452), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

小朋友 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12815 vs ★17657), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 小朋友 (+452), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.