冰之极限 won despite 痛经室女队 holding the stronger draft (-404). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

冰之极限 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★23322 vs ★26875), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 痛经室女队 (-404), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.