Troubled Kids won despite Sexy Waluigi holding the stronger draft (+464). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Troubled Kids fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★42972 vs ★45000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Sexy Waluigi (+464), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.