Water Under The Bridge. won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+454), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

烛火 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★17286 vs ★19277), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Water Under The Bridge. (+454), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.