Roshen Guardians won despite Zabroodnenya holding the stronger draft (+456). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Roshen Guardians fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★13000 vs ★34000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Zabroodnenya (+456), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.