Group Therapy won despite Tilt Mentality holding the stronger draft (+474). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Tilt Mentality fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★20623 vs ★23936), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Tilt Mentality (+474), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.