小破船 came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-352). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

小破船 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★17026 vs ★17447), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 吗喽队 (-352), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.