podosinovik won despite отпущенные holding the stronger draft (+467). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

отпущенные fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★10000 vs ★21488), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of отпущенные (+467), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.