Ivory came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-351). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

Winter Squadron fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★564 vs ★1200), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Winter Squadron (-351), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.