Carstensz Esports won despite HOID HUL holding the stronger draft (+430). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Both teams are closely matched in player rank — Carstensz Esports at ★2606 vs HOID HUL at ★2613.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of HOID HUL (+430), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.