Flame Esports won despite Ilbirs Esports holding the stronger draft (-460). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Ilbirs Esports fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★1057 vs ★1374), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Ilbirs Esports (-460), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.