大板鲫 came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-362). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

摆烂 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★22387 vs ★24000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 摆烂 (-362), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.