大香蕉 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-417), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

南溪斋丶 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★7900 vs ★10775), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 大香蕉 (-417), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.