Guinnessmenchen came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-374). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

Guinnessmenchen fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★26957 vs ★40000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Cavan Champions (-374), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.