影魔王回归 won despite 甜蜜之家 holding the stronger draft (+424). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

影魔王回归 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★25961 vs ★36875), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 甜蜜之家 (+424), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.