Carstensz Esports won despite Komodo holding the stronger draft (-401). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Komodo fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★2085 vs ★2770), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Komodo (-401), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.