Aragorn gay won despite Buccee's Bandits holding the stronger draft (-433). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Buccee's Bandits fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★32000 vs ★37000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Buccee's Bandits (-433), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.