贞观之治 won despite 一鹿顺风 holding the stronger draft (-425). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

一鹿顺风 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★11796 vs ★21735), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 一鹿顺风 (-425), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.