小蜜蜂 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+490), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

小破船 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★16923 vs ★17216), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 小蜜蜂 (+490), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.