不良人 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+500), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

狂奔的大香蕉 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★14391 vs ★19715), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 不良人 (+500), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.