Bonde dos Careca won despite falso + 4 holding the stronger draft (-472). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Bonde dos Careca fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★33612 vs ★38957), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of falso + 4 (-472), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.