Hellspawn won despite Stormriders holding the stronger draft (-490). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Hellspawn fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★10000 vs ★18000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Stormriders (-490), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.