泉水保卫队 won despite 电 holding the stronger draft (+429). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

泉水保卫队 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★21358 vs ★23267), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 电 (+429), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.