4 Provoke 1 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+405), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

Aogiri Tree fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★34369 vs ★34701), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 4 Provoke 1 (+405), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.