The Pepegs won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+411), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

Wongs Bakery fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★15546 vs ★17120), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of The Pepegs (+411), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.