FINISHED Ultras Dota Pro League 2025-26| Delay 2:00 | ID 18037 | 28.01.2026 15:44 | View Match →
WINNER
★14403
Ghost Sheep
1 : 1
series
WINNER
Air Defence
★23922
VS

Draft Analysis: Ghost Sheep vs Air Defence

Ghost Sheep pulled off a major upset — Air Defence had a commanding draft advantage (-1213) but couldn't convert it. A clear case of execution beating the numbers.

Ghost Sheep fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★14403 vs ★23922), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

From a hero matchup standpoint, Air Defence has a commanding draft advantage (-1213). Their heroes are statistically favoured across the majority of matchup cells, making this a very lopsided draft on paper.

Ghost Sheep
Vengeful Spirit -43

Roughly even.

Batrider -101

Roughly even.

Shadow Demon -121

Roughly even.

Mirana -160

Faces resistance from the opposing draft.

Bristleback -789

Difficult matchup — countered by most heroes in the opposing lineup.

Air Defence
Slark +838

Dominant counter — statistically beats every hero in the opposing lineup.

Storm Spirit +764

Dominant counter — statistically beats every hero in the opposing lineup.

Mars +309

Holds a decent edge overall.

Windranger -329

Faces resistance from the opposing draft.

Snapfire -368

Faces resistance from the opposing draft.