Outnumbered won despite Bada Bing holding the stronger draft (+468). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Outnumbered fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★6059 vs ★14129), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Bada Bing (+468), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.