Machine Diff won despite Al-Qaida holding the stronger draft (-468). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Machine Diff fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★37000 vs ★37977), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Al-Qaida (-468), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.