Nethercore won despite Air Defence holding the stronger draft (+439). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Nethercore fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★9729 vs ★22368), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Air Defence (+439), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.