29th times the charm won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-450), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

i shit myself fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★32000 vs ★34000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 29th times the charm (-450), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.